Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
The market favoured Under at 51% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$722k
Total volume$726k
Liquidity$176k
Resolved18 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 18 Oct, 17:52 UTC | 0% |
| 18 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 50% |
| 18 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 51% |
| 18 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 53% |
| 18 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 52% |
| 18 Oct, 07:21 UTC | 50% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 51% |
| 17 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 50% |
What counts
The Over outcome requires Nottingham Forest and Arsenal to score three or more goals combined during regular play plus stoppage time. The Under outcome applies if their total is less than three goals. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the result depends on extra time or penalties rather than just the 90 minutes of regular play.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Over 0%
- Under 100%
View this market on Polymarket →