Will Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?
The market favoured No at 77% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$256k
Total volume$266k
Liquidity$226k
Resolved3 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 3 Nov, 19:21 UTC | 23% |
| 3 Nov, 14:25 UTC | 24% |
| 2 Nov, 14:25 UTC | 25% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and No otherwise. The deadline is the end of regular play, not extra time or penalties. Readers often mistake the source of truth; the official governing body's statistics are primary, with Flashscore as a backup only if that data is missing within two hours.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →