Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves by checking the arena.ai Text Arena leaderboard on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. The outcome is Yes if SpaceXAI owns the top-ranked model and No if another company does. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the month rather than the specific time, or they ignore the rule that AutoEval models are excluded from the ranking.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%