Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
The market favoured Eagles at 52% a day out, but Commanders won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$896k
Total volume$949k
Liquidity$219k
Resolved2 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 2 Nov, 04:54 UTC | 100% |
| 1 Nov, 15:46 UTC | 47% |
| 1 Nov, 12:48 UTC | 48% |
| 30 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 49% |
| 29 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 48% |
What counts
The Commanders outcome triggers if they win by seven points or more. The Eagles outcome applies if they win or lose by six points or fewer. Readers often forget that overtime counts toward the final margin.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Commanders 100%
- Eagles 0%
View this market on Polymarket →