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Will Philadelphia Phillies advance to the NLDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?

Resolved: No 36d ago

The market favoured No at 51% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$383
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$0
Resolved5 Oct 2026
How the odds moved · Will Philadelphia Phillies advance to the NLDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?
0%50%100%0%29 Sept, 21:55 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now0%
2 Oct, 05:05 UTC0%
2 Oct, 03:09 UTC0%
2 Oct, 02:56 UTC3%
2 Oct, 02:23 UTC6%
2 Oct, 01:59 UTC8%
2 Oct, 01:26 UTC14%
2 Oct, 00:49 UTC24%
2 Oct, 00:03 UTC49%
1 Oct, 23:45 UTC48%
1 Oct, 23:18 UTC50%
1 Oct, 22:57 UTC49%
1 Oct, 22:06 UTC50%
1 Oct, 21:59 UTC51%
1 Oct, 21:09 UTC50%
1 Oct, 20:56 UTC50%
1 Oct, 20:22 UTC49%
1 Oct, 19:55 UTC50%
1 Oct, 19:19 UTC50%
1 Oct, 18:36 UTC50%
1 Oct, 18:29 UTC50%
1 Oct, 17:57 UTC48%
1 Oct, 17:22 UTC51%
1 Oct, 16:59 UTC50%
1 Oct, 16:14 UTC50%
1 Oct, 15:58 UTC51%
1 Oct, 13:55 UTC50%
1 Oct, 13:21 UTC50%
1 Oct, 12:31 UTC50%
1 Oct, 12:00 UTC51%
1 Oct, 10:06 UTC50%
1 Oct, 09:59 UTC50%
1 Oct, 07:13 UTC50%
1 Oct, 04:03 UTC50%
1 Oct, 03:55 UTC50%
1 Oct, 02:36 UTC51%
1 Oct, 02:29 UTC50%
1 Oct, 01:12 UTC48%
1 Oct, 00:23 UTC48%
30 Sept, 23:47 UTC49%
30 Sept, 22:44 UTC50%
30 Sept, 22:29 UTC50%
30 Sept, 21:55 UTC50%
29 Sept, 21:55 UTC28%

What counts

The outcome is Yes if the Philadelphia Phillies reach the National League Division Series in the 2026 playoffs. The outcome is No if they are mathematically eliminated from contention or if the playoffs end without a declared NLDS matchup by November 1, 2026. Readers often mistake the linked Wild Card game result as sufficient proof, but only advancement to the next round counts.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 0%
  • No 100%

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