Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 16 Oct, 03:02 UTC | 6% |
| 15 Oct, 21:34 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Oct, 19:28 UTC | 8% |
| 15 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Oct, 15:52 UTC | 6% |
| 15 Oct, 12:01 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 8% |
| 15 Oct, 11:27 UTC | 6% |
| 14 Oct, 10:36 UTC | 12% |
| 14 Oct, 07:02 UTC | 12% |
| 14 Oct, 06:23 UTC | 12% |
| 14 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 14% |
| 14 Oct, 01:08 UTC | 23% |
| 14 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 22% |
| 14 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 23% |
Your call. How does this end?
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Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if the U.S. federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment against Kimberly Guilfoyle by 11:59 PM ET on December 31. It resolves to "No" if no such charge or announcement occurs within that timeframe. Readers often mistakenly believe that state-level charges, local indictments, or mere allegations reported in the news count toward the "Yes" outcome.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 95%
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