Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?
Implied probability 79%+4
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$40k
Liquidity$24k
Resolves4 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 79% |
| 7 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 80% |
| 7 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 81% |
| 7 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 81% |
| 7 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 83% |
| 7 Oct, 10:22 UTC | 84% |
| 6 Oct, 10:22 UTC | 76% |
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What counts
The Democrats win if their nominee takes the 2026 Oregon governor race. The outcome depends on which party’s candidate is declared the winner by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. Readers often mistake the linked story about Bonamici as relevant to this market, but it does not affect the resolution.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 79%
- No 21%
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