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Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Implied probability 2%
Total volume$16k
Liquidity$50k
Resolves25 Oct 2027
How the odds moved · Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
0%50%100%2%30 Sept, 15:00 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now2%
5 Oct, 14:38 UTC2%
5 Oct, 07:01 UTC2%
4 Oct, 23:58 UTC2%
4 Oct, 16:25 UTC2%
3 Oct, 10:10 UTC1%
2 Oct, 16:37 UTC1%
2 Oct, 15:37 UTC1%
2 Oct, 15:02 UTC2%
2 Oct, 14:21 UTC2%
2 Oct, 13:55 UTC2%
2 Oct, 13:25 UTC2%
2 Oct, 12:58 UTC3%
2 Oct, 12:08 UTC3%
2 Oct, 11:35 UTC3%
2 Oct, 11:15 UTC3%
2 Oct, 10:46 UTC3%
2 Oct, 10:13 UTC3%
2 Oct, 09:59 UTC3%
2 Oct, 09:23 UTC3%
2 Oct, 08:45 UTC3%
2 Oct, 08:09 UTC3%
2 Oct, 07:55 UTC3%
2 Oct, 07:28 UTC2%
2 Oct, 06:37 UTC1%
1 Oct, 20:49 UTC0%
1 Oct, 19:19 UTC0%
1 Oct, 02:43 UTC0%
30 Sept, 17:20 UTC0%
30 Sept, 16:59 UTC0%
30 Sept, 15:00 UTC0%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Cristina Fernández de Kirchner wins the 2027 Argentine presidential election, including any second round. It resolves to No if she does not win. Readers often mistake the October 31, 2028 deadline for the election date; the actual election occurs on October 24, 2027.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 2%
  • No 98%

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