Minnesota vs. Indiana
The market favoured Indiana at 93% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$1.1M
Total volume$0
Liquidity$12k
Resolved31 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 31 Oct, 23:53 UTC | 0% |
| 31 Oct, 14:31 UTC | 9% |
| 31 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 8% |
| 30 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 9% |
What counts
The market resolves to Minnesota if they win the game and to Indiana if they win. Overtime counts toward the final result. Readers often mistake the resolution time for the start of the game rather than its conclusion.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Minnesota 0%
- Indiana 100%
View this market on Polymarket →