Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Implied probability 8%−7
24-hour volume$566k
Total volume$825k
Liquidity$34k
Resolves4 Nov 2026
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if a Democrat wins the 2026 Mississippi Senate election, including any run-offs. The No outcome applies if a Republican or independent candidate wins. Readers often mistake the deadline for the resolution, which depends on all three specified news sources calling the race for the same candidate, not just the final certification.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 8%
- No 92%