Spread: Purdue (-3.5)
The market favoured Washington at 51% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$170k
Total volume$188k
Liquidity$283k
Resolved17 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 17 Oct, 04:02 UTC | 0% |
| 16 Oct, 17:01 UTC | 47% |
| 16 Oct, 16:53 UTC | 47% |
| 16 Oct, 15:31 UTC | 48% |
| 16 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 49% |
| 16 Oct, 05:42 UTC | 49% |
| 15 Oct, 05:41 UTC | 49% |
What counts
Purdue wins if they beat Washington by four points or more. Washington wins if Purdue loses or wins by three points or fewer. Readers often mistake the point spread for a simple win/loss bet, but the margin matters here.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Purdue 0%
- Washington 100%
View this market on Polymarket →