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Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

Resolved: No 18d ago

The market favoured No at 79% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$20k
Total volume$916k
Liquidity$76k
Resolved1 Dec 2026
How the odds moved · Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
0%50%100%0%14 Oct, 22:24 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now0%
20 Oct, 05:47 UTC0%
19 Oct, 02:49 UTC21%
19 Oct, 02:22 UTC21%
19 Oct, 01:54 UTC21%
19 Oct, 00:58 UTC21%
19 Oct, 00:18 UTC21%
18 Oct, 23:57 UTC22%
18 Oct, 23:29 UTC24%
18 Oct, 22:56 UTC25%
18 Oct, 22:28 UTC26%
18 Oct, 21:48 UTC34%
18 Oct, 21:27 UTC39%
18 Oct, 19:38 UTC42%
18 Oct, 18:57 UTC42%
18 Oct, 18:22 UTC42%
18 Oct, 17:38 UTC42%
18 Oct, 16:38 UTC43%
18 Oct, 16:10 UTC43%
18 Oct, 15:59 UTC43%
18 Oct, 15:29 UTC43%
18 Oct, 14:55 UTC43%
18 Oct, 14:13 UTC43%
18 Oct, 13:45 UTC43%
18 Oct, 13:23 UTC44%
18 Oct, 12:55 UTC44%
18 Oct, 12:28 UTC44%
18 Oct, 11:40 UTC44%
18 Oct, 11:19 UTC44%
18 Oct, 10:59 UTC45%
18 Oct, 10:22 UTC45%
18 Oct, 09:33 UTC45%
18 Oct, 09:26 UTC45%
18 Oct, 08:47 UTC45%
18 Oct, 08:27 UTC45%
18 Oct, 07:42 UTC45%
18 Oct, 07:01 UTC45%
18 Oct, 06:37 UTC44%
18 Oct, 06:23 UTC44%
18 Oct, 05:49 UTC44%
18 Oct, 05:17 UTC43%
18 Oct, 04:57 UTC43%
18 Oct, 04:18 UTC43%
18 Oct, 03:57 UTC43%
18 Oct, 03:23 UTC44%
18 Oct, 02:31 UTC42%
18 Oct, 02:04 UTC48%
18 Oct, 01:49 UTC56%
18 Oct, 01:23 UTC63%
17 Oct, 23:46 UTC63%
17 Oct, 23:22 UTC63%
17 Oct, 21:25 UTC63%
17 Oct, 20:57 UTC63%
17 Oct, 20:25 UTC63%
17 Oct, 19:58 UTC63%
17 Oct, 19:25 UTC62%
17 Oct, 18:57 UTC63%
17 Oct, 18:29 UTC62%
17 Oct, 17:56 UTC63%
17 Oct, 16:45 UTC62%
17 Oct, 16:23 UTC62%
17 Oct, 15:43 UTC62%
17 Oct, 15:29 UTC62%
17 Oct, 14:27 UTC62%
17 Oct, 13:56 UTC62%
17 Oct, 12:41 UTC62%
17 Oct, 12:27 UTC62%
17 Oct, 11:53 UTC62%
17 Oct, 11:26 UTC62%
17 Oct, 10:47 UTC62%
17 Oct, 10:19 UTC62%
17 Oct, 09:52 UTC62%
17 Oct, 09:26 UTC63%
17 Oct, 08:59 UTC62%
17 Oct, 08:20 UTC62%
17 Oct, 07:47 UTC62%
17 Oct, 07:27 UTC62%
17 Oct, 06:54 UTC62%
17 Oct, 05:42 UTC62%
17 Oct, 04:36 UTC62%
17 Oct, 02:49 UTC62%
17 Oct, 02:04 UTC62%
17 Oct, 01:50 UTC62%
17 Oct, 00:58 UTC63%
17 Oct, 00:10 UTC63%
16 Oct, 22:55 UTC63%
16 Oct, 21:42 UTC63%
16 Oct, 21:09 UTC63%
16 Oct, 20:55 UTC63%
16 Oct, 20:28 UTC63%
16 Oct, 19:27 UTC63%
16 Oct, 18:52 UTC63%
16 Oct, 18:24 UTC63%
16 Oct, 17:55 UTC63%
16 Oct, 17:29 UTC63%
16 Oct, 16:53 UTC63%
16 Oct, 16:20 UTC63%
16 Oct, 15:59 UTC63%
16 Oct, 14:59 UTC63%
16 Oct, 14:23 UTC63%
16 Oct, 13:45 UTC64%
16 Oct, 13:24 UTC63%
16 Oct, 12:26 UTC64%
16 Oct, 11:58 UTC63%
16 Oct, 11:02 UTC64%
16 Oct, 10:55 UTC62%
16 Oct, 09:26 UTC62%
16 Oct, 07:46 UTC62%
16 Oct, 05:55 UTC62%
16 Oct, 04:49 UTC62%
16 Oct, 04:22 UTC61%
16 Oct, 03:36 UTC61%
16 Oct, 03:29 UTC61%
16 Oct, 02:55 UTC62%
16 Oct, 02:23 UTC62%
16 Oct, 01:22 UTC62%
16 Oct, 00:48 UTC62%
15 Oct, 23:15 UTC61%
15 Oct, 22:56 UTC61%
15 Oct, 22:01 UTC61%
15 Oct, 21:06 UTC62%
15 Oct, 20:59 UTC62%
15 Oct, 20:24 UTC62%
15 Oct, 19:56 UTC60%
15 Oct, 19:28 UTC56%
15 Oct, 18:55 UTC54%
15 Oct, 18:20 UTC42%
15 Oct, 17:53 UTC49%
15 Oct, 17:25 UTC47%
15 Oct, 16:56 UTC46%
15 Oct, 16:14 UTC46%
15 Oct, 15:38 UTC47%
15 Oct, 15:19 UTC48%
15 Oct, 14:57 UTC47%
15 Oct, 14:27 UTC47%
15 Oct, 13:59 UTC47%
15 Oct, 13:17 UTC47%
15 Oct, 12:51 UTC47%
15 Oct, 12:23 UTC45%
15 Oct, 06:53 UTC45%
15 Oct, 05:02 UTC45%
14 Oct, 22:38 UTC44%
14 Oct, 22:24 UTC44%

What counts

The Yes outcome occurs if the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series. The No outcome applies if any other team wins or if the Guardians are eliminated before winning the series. Readers often mistake the linked Wild Card or ALDS games for the decisive event, but only the winner of the final ALCS determines the result.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 0%
  • No 100%

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