Timberwolves vs. Magic
The market favoured Timberwolves at 54% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$1.5M
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$36k
Resolved23 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 24 Oct, 03:51 UTC | 100% |
| 23 Oct, 20:35 UTC | 48% |
| 23 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 49% |
| 23 Oct, 16:50 UTC | 49% |
| 23 Oct, 15:49 UTC | 49% |
| 23 Oct, 15:06 UTC | 50% |
| 23 Oct, 14:32 UTC | 49% |
| 23 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 50% |
| 23 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 51% |
| 23 Oct, 12:57 UTC | 53% |
| 23 Oct, 11:27 UTC | 54% |
| 23 Oct, 04:17 UTC | 53% |
| 23 Oct, 03:53 UTC | 53% |
| 22 Oct, 14:17 UTC | 54% |
| 22 Oct, 11:00 UTC | 53% |
| 21 Oct, 11:00 UTC | 52% |
What counts
The Timberwolves outcome wins if they finish with more points than the Magic in their game on October 23. The Magic outcome wins if they finish with more points than the Timberwolves. Readers often mistake the start time for the deadline, but the result depends on the final score after any overtime.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Timberwolves 100%
- Magic 0%
View this market on Polymarket →