Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)
Implied probability 35%+1
24-hour volume$17k
Total volume$18k
Liquidity$372k
Resolves10 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 35% |
| 10 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 35% |
| 10 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 34% |
| 10 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 33% |
| 10 Oct, 10:38 UTC | 33% |
| 10 Oct, 09:15 UTC | 33% |
| 9 Oct, 09:15 UTC | 34% |
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What counts
Manchester United FC wins if they beat Tottenham by two goals or more in the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Otherwise, Tottenham Hotspur FC wins. Readers often mistake the linked news story about contract negotiations for the actual match result.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Manchester United FC 35%
- Tottenham Hotspur FC 66%
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