Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
The market favoured Jaguars at 53% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$682k
Total volume$696k
Liquidity$284k
Resolved6 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 6 Nov, 00:12 UTC | 49% |
| 5 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 50% |
| 5 Nov, 19:43 UTC | 51% |
| 5 Nov, 12:29 UTC | 52% |
| 5 Nov, 03:58 UTC | 53% |
| 4 Nov, 22:42 UTC | 52% |
| 4 Nov, 22:27 UTC | 52% |
| 4 Nov, 21:34 UTC | 53% |
| 4 Nov, 20:06 UTC | 52% |
| 3 Nov, 20:06 UTC | 53% |
What counts
The Jaguars outcome triggers if they win by ten points or more in the scheduled November 5 game. The Ravens outcome applies if the Jaguars win by fewer than ten points, lose, or tie. Readers often mistake the point spread for a simple win/loss bet and forget that overtime scores count toward the final margin.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Jaguars 100%
- Ravens 0%
View this market on Polymarket →