Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?
The market favoured No at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$100k
Total volume$1.6M
Liquidity$526k
Resolved31 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 8 Oct, 05:17 UTC | 0% |
| 8 Oct, 01:22 UTC | 0% |
| 8 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 1% |
| 8 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 23:46 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 22:32 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 21:18 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 20:50 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 19:49 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 18:47 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 18:06 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 17:59 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 17:23 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 15:03 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 14:48 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 14:26 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 12:33 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 12:19 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 11:52 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 11:10 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 10:57 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 10:29 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 09:03 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Oct, 11:13 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Oct, 09:48 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Oct, 09:25 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Oct, 07:45 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Oct, 06:53 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Oct, 06:14 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Oct, 05:28 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Oct, 04:55 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Oct, 03:55 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Oct, 03:03 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Oct, 02:50 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Oct, 02:10 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Oct, 01:57 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Oct, 23:42 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Oct, 23:29 UTC | 8% |
| 5 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 8% |
| 5 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 8% |
| 5 Oct, 21:54 UTC | 8% |
| 5 Oct, 21:05 UTC | 8% |
| 5 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 8% |
| 5 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Oct, 19:49 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Oct, 19:28 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Oct, 18:35 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Oct, 18:28 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Oct, 17:59 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Oct, 17:00 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Oct, 16:10 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Oct, 15:49 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Oct, 12:10 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Oct, 11:57 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Oct, 11:07 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Oct, 10:54 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Oct, 10:21 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Oct, 09:53 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Oct, 09:27 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Oct, 08:41 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Oct, 08:28 UTC | 8% |
| 5 Oct, 07:56 UTC | 8% |
| 5 Oct, 07:21 UTC | 8% |
| 5 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Oct, 06:16 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Oct, 05:56 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Oct, 04:52 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Oct, 04:27 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Oct, 03:45 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Oct, 02:40 UTC | 6% |
| 5 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 5% |
| 5 Oct, 01:54 UTC | 6% |
| 5 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 6% |
| 5 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 6% |
| 5 Oct, 00:18 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 23:51 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 21:18 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 19:07 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 16:42 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 16:18 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 15:25 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Oct, 13:40 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 12:19 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 11:17 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 10:57 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 08:04 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 07:51 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 04:26 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 02:37 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 01:33 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 00:01 UTC | 5% |
| 3 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 5% |
| 3 Oct, 23:16 UTC | 5% |
| 3 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 5% |
| 3 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Oct, 18:23 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Oct, 16:53 UTC | 8% |
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series. The No outcome applies if any other team wins or if the Braves are eliminated before winning it all. Readers often mistake the linked story about clinching a playoff berth for the final result, but only the actual championship game matters.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →