Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?
The market favoured Yes at 56% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$91k
Total volume$643k
Liquidity$0
Resolved1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 6 Oct, 11:13 UTC | 100% |
| 6 Oct, 10:25 UTC | 100% |
| 6 Oct, 09:48 UTC | 100% |
| 6 Oct, 09:25 UTC | 68% |
| 6 Oct, 08:10 UTC | 41% |
| 6 Oct, 07:51 UTC | 42% |
| 6 Oct, 07:25 UTC | 42% |
| 6 Oct, 06:59 UTC | 43% |
| 6 Oct, 06:27 UTC | 45% |
| 6 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 44% |
| 6 Oct, 05:28 UTC | 44% |
| 6 Oct, 04:55 UTC | 45% |
| 6 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 45% |
| 6 Oct, 03:42 UTC | 45% |
| 6 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 45% |
| 6 Oct, 02:43 UTC | 44% |
| 6 Oct, 02:10 UTC | 47% |
| 6 Oct, 01:30 UTC | 50% |
| 6 Oct, 01:16 UTC | 50% |
| 6 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 49% |
| 6 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 51% |
| 5 Oct, 23:42 UTC | 51% |
| 5 Oct, 23:09 UTC | 51% |
| 5 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 51% |
| 5 Oct, 22:28 UTC | 51% |
| 5 Oct, 21:54 UTC | 51% |
| 5 Oct, 21:12 UTC | 50% |
| 5 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 50% |
| 5 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 51% |
| 5 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 52% |
| 5 Oct, 19:14 UTC | 52% |
| 5 Oct, 17:51 UTC | 52% |
| 5 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 52% |
| 5 Oct, 16:33 UTC | 52% |
| 5 Oct, 16:10 UTC | 53% |
| 5 Oct, 15:56 UTC | 53% |
| 5 Oct, 15:14 UTC | 53% |
| 5 Oct, 14:53 UTC | 53% |
| 5 Oct, 14:17 UTC | 53% |
| 5 Oct, 13:32 UTC | 52% |
| 5 Oct, 13:25 UTC | 54% |
| 5 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 55% |
| 5 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 54% |
| 5 Oct, 11:50 UTC | 54% |
| 5 Oct, 11:07 UTC | 55% |
| 5 Oct, 10:54 UTC | 57% |
| 5 Oct, 10:28 UTC | 57% |
| 5 Oct, 09:53 UTC | 56% |
| 5 Oct, 09:27 UTC | 56% |
| 5 Oct, 08:34 UTC | 53% |
| 5 Oct, 08:15 UTC | 59% |
| 5 Oct, 07:56 UTC | 60% |
| 5 Oct, 07:28 UTC | 60% |
| 5 Oct, 06:55 UTC | 60% |
| 5 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 62% |
| 5 Oct, 05:43 UTC | 62% |
| 5 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 61% |
| 5 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 61% |
| 5 Oct, 04:13 UTC | 60% |
| 5 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 61% |
| 5 Oct, 03:26 UTC | 59% |
| 5 Oct, 02:20 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Oct, 01:54 UTC | 62% |
| 5 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 57% |
| 4 Oct, 23:58 UTC | 60% |
| 4 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 60% |
| 4 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 59% |
| 4 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 60% |
| 4 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 59% |
| 4 Oct, 20:25 UTC | 59% |
| 4 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 59% |
| 4 Oct, 19:00 UTC | 59% |
| 4 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 59% |
| 4 Oct, 17:40 UTC | 59% |
| 4 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 59% |
| 4 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 60% |
| 4 Oct, 16:12 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 15:25 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Oct, 11:49 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Oct, 10:26 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Oct, 09:53 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 09:15 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 08:56 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 07:51 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 07:25 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 04:45 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 04:13 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 02:50 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Oct, 01:52 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Oct, 01:07 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Oct, 00:47 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 61% |
| 3 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 61% |
| 3 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 61% |
| 3 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 61% |
| 3 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 16:46 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 16:13 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 15:40 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 14:34 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 63% |
| 3 Oct, 11:34 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 11:21 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 10:42 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 10:23 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 05:16 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 03:44 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 03:12 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 02:53 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 63% |
| 3 Oct, 00:16 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 22:09 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 20:45 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 20:25 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 19:50 UTC | 65% |
| 2 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 65% |
| 2 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 65% |
| 2 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 67% |
| 2 Oct, 17:59 UTC | 67% |
| 2 Oct, 17:11 UTC | 67% |
| 2 Oct, 16:57 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 64% |
| 2 Oct, 15:23 UTC | 65% |
| 2 Oct, 14:42 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 13:25 UTC | 62% |
| 2 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 64% |
| 2 Oct, 12:08 UTC | 59% |
| 2 Oct, 11:42 UTC | 58% |
| 2 Oct, 11:29 UTC | 57% |
| 2 Oct, 10:46 UTC | 57% |
| 2 Oct, 10:26 UTC | 57% |
| 2 Oct, 09:53 UTC | 58% |
| 2 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 58% |
| 2 Oct, 08:51 UTC | 59% |
| 2 Oct, 07:55 UTC | 58% |
| 2 Oct, 07:28 UTC | 58% |
| 2 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 58% |
| 2 Oct, 06:24 UTC | 58% |
| 2 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 58% |
| 2 Oct, 05:25 UTC | 58% |
| 2 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 58% |
| 2 Oct, 04:28 UTC | 58% |
| 2 Oct, 03:55 UTC | 58% |
| 2 Oct, 02:49 UTC | 59% |
| 2 Oct, 02:05 UTC | 59% |
| 2 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 59% |
| 2 Oct, 01:26 UTC | 57% |
| 2 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 57% |
| 2 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 57% |
| 1 Oct, 23:45 UTC | 57% |
| 1 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 58% |
| 1 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 59% |
| 1 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 60% |
| 1 Oct, 21:16 UTC | 62% |
| 1 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 63% |
| 1 Oct, 20:29 UTC | 63% |
| 1 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 63% |
| 1 Oct, 19:12 UTC | 63% |
| 1 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 62% |
| 1 Oct, 18:28 UTC | 62% |
| 1 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 60% |
| 1 Oct, 17:22 UTC | 61% |
| 1 Oct, 16:52 UTC | 60% |
| 1 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 58% |
| 1 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 58% |
| 1 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 61% |
| 1 Oct, 14:52 UTC | 59% |
What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if the Saudi government officially announces that the East-West pipeline is currently operational, including at reduced capacity, before October 31 at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to "No" if no such qualifying announcement occurs by that deadline.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
View this market on Polymarket →