Patriots vs. Jaguars
The market favoured Jaguars at 60% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$2.2M
Total volume$879
Liquidity$47k
Resolved27 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 27 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 35% |
| 27 Sept, 16:23 UTC | 41% |
| 27 Sept, 15:45 UTC | 40% |
| 27 Sept, 15:24 UTC | 41% |
| 27 Sept, 12:39 UTC | 42% |
| 27 Sept, 08:22 UTC | 41% |
| 27 Sept, 02:58 UTC | 42% |
| 26 Sept, 19:16 UTC | 41% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 42% |
| 24 Sept, 13:17 UTC | 41% |
| 24 Sept, 12:55 UTC | 42% |
| 24 Sept, 10:41 UTC | 41% |
| 24 Sept, 10:12 UTC | 42% |
| 24 Sept, 09:29 UTC | 41% |
| 24 Sept, 07:31 UTC | 41% |
| 24 Sept, 06:44 UTC | 42% |
| 24 Sept, 03:07 UTC | 41% |
| 23 Sept, 21:36 UTC | 41% |
| 23 Sept, 19:14 UTC | 42% |
| 23 Sept, 15:10 UTC | 41% |
| 23 Sept, 14:48 UTC | 42% |
| 23 Sept, 12:31 UTC | 41% |
| 23 Sept, 12:23 UTC | 42% |
| 22 Sept, 19:17 UTC | 41% |
| 22 Sept, 14:12 UTC | 40% |
What counts
The Patriots outcome wins if they defeat the Jaguars in their scheduled September 27 game. The Jaguars outcome wins if they win that same game. Readers often mistake the linked news headline about Travis Hunter for the actual resolution criteria, but only the final game score matters.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Patriots 0%
- Jaguars 100%
View this market on Polymarket →