North Carolina vs. Duke: O/U 47.5
The market favoured Under at 54% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$36k
Total volume$38k
Liquidity$38k
Resolved17 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 17 Oct, 18:10 UTC | 47% |
| 17 Oct, 16:31 UTC | 48% |
| 17 Oct, 15:36 UTC | 47% |
| 17 Oct, 15:29 UTC | 47% |
| 17 Oct, 12:48 UTC | 48% |
| 16 Oct, 12:48 UTC | 47% |
What counts
The Over outcome requires North Carolina and Duke to score a combined total of 48 or more points in their scheduled college football game on October 17. The Under outcome applies if that combined total falls below 48 points. Readers often mistake the deadline, assuming the market closes immediately after the scheduled start time rather than waiting for the final official score.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Over 0%
- Under 100%
View this market on Polymarket →