Spread: Packers (-3.5)
The market favoured Packers at 51% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$977k
Total volume$1.0M
Liquidity$449k
Resolved30 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 30 Oct, 03:54 UTC | 100% |
| 28 Oct, 19:40 UTC | 51% |
| 28 Oct, 18:59 UTC | 50% |
| 28 Oct, 07:56 UTC | 51% |
What counts
The Packers outcome requires them to win by four or more points. The Panthers outcome applies if they win or if the Packers win by three points or fewer. Readers often mistake the point spread for a requirement that the Packers must simply win, ignoring the margin of victory.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Packers 100%
- Panthers 0%
View this market on Polymarket →