Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 17:42 UTC | 10% |
| 2 Nov, 04:26 UTC | 9% |
| 2 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 9% |
| 1 Nov, 22:53 UTC | 9% |
| 1 Nov, 22:10 UTC | 9% |
| 1 Nov, 20:14 UTC | 9% |
| 1 Nov, 03:47 UTC | 9% |
| 31 Oct, 14:53 UTC | 10% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if OpenAI announces bankruptcy through official channels or credible reporting by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to No if no such announcement occurs by that deadline. Readers often mistake the linked story about a safety leader quitting for a bankruptcy filing, but that event does not count toward resolution.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 10%
- No 91%
Trade this market on Polymarket →