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Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Implied probability 99%
24-hour volume$51
Total volume$180k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
How the odds moved · Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
0%50%100%99%26 Sept, 10:59 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now99%
1 Oct, 22:51 UTC99%
1 Oct, 08:19 UTC99%
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26 Sept, 21:49 UTC98%
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26 Sept, 10:59 UTC98%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Paramount acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to No if this acquisition does not occur within that specific timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about antitrust talks for the actual closing of the deal.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 99%
  • No 1%

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