Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)
The market favoured Las Vegas Aces at 54% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$23k
Total volume$26k
Liquidity$50k
Resolved2 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 2 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 100% |
| 2 Oct, 02:56 UTC | 73% |
| 2 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 53% |
| 2 Oct, 01:26 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 56% |
| 1 Oct, 13:38 UTC | 56% |
| 1 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 56% |
| 1 Oct, 12:15 UTC | 56% |
| 1 Oct, 09:31 UTC | 56% |
| 30 Sept, 09:30 UTC | 53% |
What counts
The Las Vegas Aces outcome requires them to win by four points or more. The Indiana Fever outcome applies if they win, lose by three points or fewer, or if the game ends in a tie. Readers often mistake the linked story about Caitlin Clark for the final result, but this market depends on the upcoming game scheduled for October 1.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Las Vegas Aces 100%
- Indiana Fever 0%
View this market on Polymarket →