Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?
Implied probability 52%−6
24-hour volume$242
Total volume$13k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves5 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 52% |
| 6 Nov, 10:49 UTC | 52% |
| 6 Nov, 10:27 UTC | 54% |
| 6 Nov, 06:56 UTC | 56% |
| 6 Nov, 06:28 UTC | 57% |
| 6 Nov, 04:27 UTC | 59% |
| 5 Nov, 19:36 UTC | 59% |
| 5 Nov, 19:29 UTC | 60% |
| 3 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Nov, 17:03 UTC | 63% |
| 3 Nov, 16:55 UTC | 71% |
| 3 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Nov, 14:46 UTC | 64% |
| 3 Nov, 14:18 UTC | 63% |
| 3 Nov, 13:04 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Nov, 08:17 UTC | 67% |
| 2 Nov, 08:17 UTC | 46% |
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if the Reserve Bank of India raises its policy repo rate by exactly 25 basis points at its February 2027 meeting. The No outcome applies if the rate remains unchanged, increases by a different amount, or decreases.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 52%
- No 48%
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