Baylor vs. UCF
The market favoured Baylor at 53% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$668k
Total volume$46
Liquidity$6k
Resolved30 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 31 Oct, 03:38 UTC | 100% |
| 30 Oct, 22:40 UTC | 56% |
| 30 Oct, 22:07 UTC | 55% |
| 30 Oct, 19:53 UTC | 54% |
| 30 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 53% |
| 30 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 54% |
| 29 Oct, 14:15 UTC | 51% |
What counts
The market resolves to Baylor if they win the scheduled college football game against UCF on October 30 at 7:30 PM ET. It resolves to UCF if they win, with overtime included in the final score. Readers often mistake the resolution source, but the outcome depends solely on the official game result, not on sports predictions or betting lines.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Baylor 100%
- UCF 0%
View this market on Polymarket →