Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
The market favoured Milwaukee Brewers at 56% a day out, but Tampa Bay Rays won. How often it's right
Why it moved: −86 points at 04:49 UTC, after feeds.bleacherreport.com: Rays Beat Brewers in Extras to Stay Alive, Box Score Stats, Highlights from 2026 MLB World Series G4 — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 28 Oct, 04:49 UTC | 0% |
| 28 Oct, 04:17 UTC | 86% |
| 28 Oct, 03:56 UTC | 46% |
| 28 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 46% |
| 28 Oct, 02:58 UTC | 49% |
| 28 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 52% |
| 28 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 56% |
| 28 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 46% |
| 28 Oct, 00:53 UTC | 49% |
| 28 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 52% |
| 27 Oct, 13:57 UTC | 53% |
| 27 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 54% |
| 27 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 56% |
| 27 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 56% |
| 27 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Oct, 04:47 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Oct, 03:59 UTC | 56% |
| 27 Oct, 03:26 UTC | 56% |
| 26 Oct, 03:26 UTC | 51% |
What counts
The market resolves to Milwaukee Brewers if they win the game and to Tampa Bay Rays if they win. If the game is postponed, it stays open until completion; if canceled with no make-up or tied, it splits evenly. Readers often mistake the deadline for resolution, but the source of truth is the official final statistics from the governing body.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Milwaukee Brewers 0%
- Tampa Bay Rays 100%
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