Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
Implied probability 17%
Total volume$50k
Liquidity$54k
Resolves1 Jan 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 17% |
| 13 Oct, 16:33 UTC | 17% |
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if OpenAI announces bankruptcy through official channels or credible reporting by December 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to No if no such announcement occurs by that deadline. Readers often mistake the resignation of a safety leader for an official bankruptcy filing.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 17%
- No 84%
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