Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?
Implied probability 4%
24-hour volume$48
Total volume$18k
Liquidity$13k
Resolves25 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 14:34 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 14:19 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 9% |
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Google launches a new Gemini Pro model to the general public between October 19 and October 25, 2026. The No outcome applies if no such release happens within that specific week or if the product is not publicly accessible. Readers often mistake the linked story about ending free access on October 9 as the relevant event, but only new model releases count toward resolution.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 96%
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