Spread: Texas Tech (-4.5)
The market favoured Arizona at 53% a day out, but Texas Tech won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$65k
Total volume$67k
Liquidity$35k
Resolved31 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 31 Oct, 20:14 UTC | 100% |
| 31 Oct, 15:52 UTC | 48% |
| 31 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 49% |
| 31 Oct, 14:08 UTC | 48% |
| 31 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 48% |
| 31 Oct, 10:06 UTC | 48% |
| 31 Oct, 06:43 UTC | 48% |
| 30 Oct, 15:35 UTC | 48% |
| 30 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 48% |
| 29 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 47% |
What counts
Texas Tech wins if they beat Arizona by five points or more. Arizona wins if Texas Tech loses, ties, or wins by four points or fewer. The deadline is the final score of the completed game, not the betting line.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Texas Tech 100%
- Arizona 0%
View this market on Polymarket →