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Will South Africa win?

Resolved: No 25d ago

The market favoured No at 92% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$39k
Total volume$106k
Liquidity$45k
Resolved16 Oct 2026
How the odds moved · Will South Africa win?
0%50%100%0%8 Oct, 05:30 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now0%
13 Oct, 13:41 UTC0%
13 Oct, 11:34 UTC0%
13 Oct, 11:27 UTC1%
13 Oct, 10:51 UTC1%
13 Oct, 10:22 UTC1%
13 Oct, 09:53 UTC1%
13 Oct, 09:26 UTC3%
13 Oct, 08:53 UTC3%
13 Oct, 08:27 UTC3%
13 Oct, 07:55 UTC3%
13 Oct, 06:01 UTC2%
13 Oct, 05:55 UTC2%
13 Oct, 05:22 UTC2%
13 Oct, 04:01 UTC2%
13 Oct, 03:41 UTC2%
13 Oct, 03:27 UTC2%
13 Oct, 02:54 UTC2%
13 Oct, 02:27 UTC2%
12 Oct, 23:21 UTC2%
12 Oct, 22:54 UTC2%
12 Oct, 21:11 UTC2%
12 Oct, 20:03 UTC2%
12 Oct, 19:27 UTC2%
12 Oct, 18:54 UTC2%
12 Oct, 18:16 UTC2%
12 Oct, 17:49 UTC2%
12 Oct, 15:27 UTC1%
12 Oct, 14:48 UTC5%
12 Oct, 14:27 UTC6%
12 Oct, 13:55 UTC6%
12 Oct, 13:29 UTC4%
12 Oct, 12:56 UTC5%
12 Oct, 12:24 UTC4%
12 Oct, 11:58 UTC4%
12 Oct, 11:13 UTC5%
12 Oct, 10:53 UTC5%
12 Oct, 09:53 UTC8%
12 Oct, 09:27 UTC9%
12 Oct, 08:40 UTC10%
12 Oct, 08:27 UTC13%
12 Oct, 07:53 UTC12%
12 Oct, 07:16 UTC13%
12 Oct, 06:51 UTC12%
12 Oct, 05:43 UTC14%
12 Oct, 04:54 UTC14%
12 Oct, 04:16 UTC14%
12 Oct, 03:44 UTC14%
12 Oct, 03:25 UTC14%
12 Oct, 02:59 UTC14%
12 Oct, 02:28 UTC14%
12 Oct, 01:56 UTC14%
12 Oct, 00:53 UTC14%
12 Oct, 00:21 UTC14%
11 Oct, 23:05 UTC14%
11 Oct, 22:58 UTC14%
11 Oct, 21:43 UTC14%
11 Oct, 21:06 UTC15%
11 Oct, 20:27 UTC14%
11 Oct, 19:52 UTC14%
11 Oct, 19:24 UTC13%
11 Oct, 18:17 UTC13%
11 Oct, 17:39 UTC14%
11 Oct, 16:06 UTC14%
11 Oct, 15:40 UTC14%
11 Oct, 14:42 UTC12%
11 Oct, 14:29 UTC13%
11 Oct, 13:51 UTC12%
11 Oct, 12:55 UTC10%
11 Oct, 12:22 UTC10%
11 Oct, 11:20 UTC13%
11 Oct, 10:48 UTC12%
11 Oct, 10:27 UTC12%
11 Oct, 09:52 UTC12%
11 Oct, 09:27 UTC14%
11 Oct, 08:50 UTC22%
11 Oct, 08:25 UTC26%
11 Oct, 07:54 UTC19%
11 Oct, 07:26 UTC17%
11 Oct, 06:37 UTC19%
11 Oct, 06:20 UTC18%
11 Oct, 05:00 UTC17%
11 Oct, 04:47 UTC17%
11 Oct, 03:19 UTC17%
11 Oct, 02:54 UTC17%
11 Oct, 01:46 UTC17%
11 Oct, 01:10 UTC17%
11 Oct, 00:20 UTC16%
10 Oct, 23:49 UTC16%
10 Oct, 23:04 UTC17%
10 Oct, 22:07 UTC17%
10 Oct, 21:06 UTC17%
10 Oct, 20:47 UTC16%
10 Oct, 20:03 UTC17%
10 Oct, 19:56 UTC17%
10 Oct, 18:27 UTC16%
10 Oct, 17:15 UTC16%
10 Oct, 16:41 UTC16%
10 Oct, 16:22 UTC17%
10 Oct, 15:48 UTC17%
10 Oct, 15:28 UTC17%
10 Oct, 14:48 UTC20%
10 Oct, 14:27 UTC19%
10 Oct, 13:52 UTC16%
10 Oct, 13:28 UTC14%
10 Oct, 12:54 UTC20%
10 Oct, 12:21 UTC20%
10 Oct, 11:54 UTC25%
10 Oct, 11:18 UTC30%
10 Oct, 10:58 UTC34%
10 Oct, 10:24 UTC37%
10 Oct, 09:48 UTC39%
10 Oct, 09:28 UTC45%
10 Oct, 08:50 UTC50%
10 Oct, 08:24 UTC50%
10 Oct, 07:57 UTC50%
10 Oct, 07:04 UTC52%
10 Oct, 06:57 UTC52%
10 Oct, 06:26 UTC53%
10 Oct, 05:59 UTC52%
10 Oct, 03:40 UTC52%
10 Oct, 02:19 UTC52%
10 Oct, 01:20 UTC52%
9 Oct, 22:45 UTC52%
9 Oct, 21:30 UTC53%
9 Oct, 21:16 UTC53%
9 Oct, 19:44 UTC53%
9 Oct, 19:03 UTC53%
9 Oct, 18:42 UTC52%
9 Oct, 18:20 UTC52%
9 Oct, 17:32 UTC54%
9 Oct, 14:31 UTC53%
9 Oct, 14:09 UTC53%
9 Oct, 13:52 UTC54%
9 Oct, 13:28 UTC55%
9 Oct, 12:52 UTC61%
9 Oct, 12:24 UTC61%
9 Oct, 11:55 UTC64%
9 Oct, 11:29 UTC55%
9 Oct, 10:54 UTC60%
9 Oct, 10:15 UTC53%
9 Oct, 09:48 UTC50%
9 Oct, 09:27 UTC46%
9 Oct, 08:48 UTC54%
9 Oct, 08:28 UTC56%
9 Oct, 07:49 UTC44%
9 Oct, 07:29 UTC42%
9 Oct, 02:48 UTC47%
9 Oct, 00:16 UTC46%
8 Oct, 23:42 UTC46%
8 Oct, 20:41 UTC47%
8 Oct, 18:11 UTC46%
8 Oct, 16:30 UTC47%
8 Oct, 16:22 UTC46%
8 Oct, 13:43 UTC47%
8 Oct, 05:30 UTC46%

What counts

The market resolves to Yes if South Africa wins the scheduled Test match against Australia on October 9, 2026. It resolves to No if Australia wins or if the match ends in a draw. Readers often mistake the linked news story about the 2018 scandal for the actual event date.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 0%
  • No 100%

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