Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
The market favoured Los Angeles Dodgers at 59% a day out, but Atlanta Braves won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$2.9M
Total volume$2.9M
Liquidity$0
Resolved12 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 5 Oct, 03:26 UTC | 92% |
| 5 Oct, 02:40 UTC | 67% |
| 5 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 51% |
| 5 Oct, 01:54 UTC | 49% |
| 5 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 41% |
| 5 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 43% |
| 5 Oct, 00:18 UTC | 39% |
| 4 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 32% |
| 4 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 33% |
| 4 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 40% |
| 4 Oct, 06:01 UTC | 42% |
| 3 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 38% |
What counts
The market resolves to Atlanta Braves if they win the game and Los Angeles Dodgers if they win. It stays open if the game is postponed but closes immediately if it is canceled or ends in a tie. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the 24-hour window for reporting applies to the resolution date rather than just the source of truth.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Atlanta Braves 100%
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0%
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