Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces
The market favoured Las Vegas Aces at 64% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$199k
Total volume$431
Liquidity$3k
Resolved2 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 2 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 0% |
| 2 Oct, 02:56 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 26% |
| 2 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Oct, 01:26 UTC | 48% |
| 2 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 35% |
| 2 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 37% |
| 1 Oct, 22:33 UTC | 36% |
| 1 Oct, 22:19 UTC | 36% |
| 1 Oct, 21:59 UTC | 36% |
| 1 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 36% |
| 1 Oct, 16:06 UTC | 37% |
| 1 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 36% |
| 1 Oct, 12:15 UTC | 35% |
| 30 Sept, 12:15 UTC | 39% |
What counts
The market resolves to "Indiana Fever" if they win the game and to "Las Vegas Aces" if they win. The outcome depends on the final score, including any overtime periods. Readers often mistakenly believe that a postponed or canceled game will automatically result in a 50-50 resolution without considering whether a make-up game is scheduled.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Indiana Fever 0%
- Las Vegas Aces 100%
View this market on Polymarket →