Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka
The market favoured England at 83% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$204k
Total volume$216k
Liquidity$0
Resolved4 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 27 Sept, 15:38 UTC | 100% |
| 27 Sept, 15:24 UTC | 100% |
| 27 Sept, 14:45 UTC | 99% |
| 27 Sept, 14:24 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Sept, 13:55 UTC | 93% |
| 27 Sept, 13:29 UTC | 94% |
| 27 Sept, 12:55 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Sept, 12:21 UTC | 91% |
| 27 Sept, 11:54 UTC | 85% |
| 27 Sept, 11:06 UTC | 75% |
| 27 Sept, 10:51 UTC | 78% |
| 27 Sept, 10:22 UTC | 80% |
| 27 Sept, 09:43 UTC | 79% |
| 27 Sept, 09:09 UTC | 80% |
| 27 Sept, 08:15 UTC | 79% |
| 27 Sept, 07:14 UTC | 80% |
| 27 Sept, 05:43 UTC | 81% |
| 27 Sept, 05:23 UTC | 82% |
| 27 Sept, 04:59 UTC | 81% |
| 27 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 81% |
| 27 Sept, 02:39 UTC | 82% |
| 27 Sept, 01:17 UTC | 81% |
| 27 Sept, 00:50 UTC | 82% |
| 26 Sept, 23:25 UTC | 81% |
| 26 Sept, 20:44 UTC | 82% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Sept, 19:16 UTC | 82% |
| 26 Sept, 18:59 UTC | 82% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Sept, 14:19 UTC | 82% |
| 26 Sept, 09:40 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Sept, 08:30 UTC | 82% |
| 26 Sept, 02:17 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Sept, 19:39 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Sept, 18:14 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Sept, 17:34 UTC | 82% |
| 25 Sept, 15:43 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Sept, 12:25 UTC | 82% |
| 25 Sept, 11:29 UTC | 82% |
| 25 Sept, 10:57 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Sept, 10:29 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Sept, 08:59 UTC | 82% |
| 25 Sept, 08:20 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Sept, 07:35 UTC | 80% |
| 25 Sept, 07:21 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Sept, 06:17 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Sept, 05:49 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Sept, 04:56 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Sept, 03:37 UTC | 82% |
| 25 Sept, 03:24 UTC | 82% |
| 25 Sept, 02:59 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Sept, 02:20 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Sept, 01:46 UTC | 80% |
| 25 Sept, 01:06 UTC | 80% |
| 25 Sept, 00:59 UTC | 80% |
| 25 Sept, 00:27 UTC | 79% |
| 24 Sept, 23:59 UTC | 82% |
| 24 Sept, 20:45 UTC | 82% |
| 24 Sept, 20:17 UTC | 83% |
| 23 Sept, 20:17 UTC | 89% |
What counts
The market resolves to England if they win the scheduled ODI match, and to Sri Lanka if they win it. A tied result without a Super Over or any permanent cancellation leads to a 50-50 split. Readers often mistake the deadline for checking official statistics, which must be published within two hours of the event's conclusion.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- England 100%
- Sri Lanka 0%
View this market on Polymarket →