Spread: Toledo (-2.5)
The market favoured Toledo at 52% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$59k
Total volume$64k
Liquidity$13k
Resolved26 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 26 Sept, 20:04 UTC | 100% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 52% |
| 26 Sept, 14:37 UTC | 53% |
| 25 Sept, 19:03 UTC | 52% |
| 25 Sept, 17:06 UTC | 53% |
| 24 Sept, 17:05 UTC | 54% |
What counts
Toledo wins if it beats San Diego State by three points or more. Otherwise, San Diego State wins. The result depends on the final score of the completed game, not the spread betting line.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Toledo 100%
- San Diego State 0%
View this market on Polymarket →