Raiders vs. Patriots
The market favoured Patriots at 64% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$1.1M
Total volume$122
Liquidity$8k
Resolved11 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 11 Oct, 20:40 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Oct, 05:55 UTC | 38% |
| 10 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 37% |
What counts
The Raiders outcome occurs if they win the scheduled NFL game on October 11 at 1:00 PM ET, including any overtime periods. The Patriots outcome occurs if they win that same game under those conditions. Readers often mistake the resolution source, but the official result depends solely on the final score of this specific match, not pre-game predictions or other games.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Raiders 0%
- Patriots 100%
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