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Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?

Resolved: No 7d ago

The market favoured No at 51% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$13k
Total volume$66k
Liquidity$8k
Resolved1 Nov 2026
How the odds moved · Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
0%50%100%0%25 Oct, 20:56 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now0%
31 Oct, 11:06 UTC0%
31 Oct, 09:16 UTC0%
31 Oct, 08:56 UTC2%
31 Oct, 08:28 UTC3%
31 Oct, 07:53 UTC3%
31 Oct, 07:25 UTC5%
30 Oct, 22:26 UTC3%
30 Oct, 21:38 UTC1%
30 Oct, 20:29 UTC1%
30 Oct, 19:53 UTC4%
30 Oct, 19:27 UTC3%
30 Oct, 18:58 UTC4%
30 Oct, 18:18 UTC5%
30 Oct, 17:56 UTC5%
30 Oct, 17:27 UTC6%
30 Oct, 16:54 UTC5%
30 Oct, 16:25 UTC9%
30 Oct, 15:50 UTC13%
30 Oct, 15:28 UTC16%
30 Oct, 14:58 UTC27%
30 Oct, 14:23 UTC33%
30 Oct, 13:58 UTC29%
30 Oct, 13:20 UTC53%
30 Oct, 12:59 UTC54%
30 Oct, 12:24 UTC54%
30 Oct, 11:59 UTC51%
30 Oct, 11:24 UTC47%
30 Oct, 10:50 UTC44%
30 Oct, 10:28 UTC42%
30 Oct, 09:58 UTC41%
30 Oct, 09:29 UTC28%
30 Oct, 08:48 UTC30%
30 Oct, 08:22 UTC30%
30 Oct, 07:55 UTC28%
30 Oct, 07:28 UTC33%
30 Oct, 06:56 UTC36%
30 Oct, 05:49 UTC36%
30 Oct, 05:28 UTC40%
30 Oct, 04:29 UTC35%
30 Oct, 03:47 UTC34%
30 Oct, 03:23 UTC43%
30 Oct, 02:55 UTC41%
30 Oct, 02:16 UTC36%
30 Oct, 01:55 UTC33%
30 Oct, 01:28 UTC33%
30 Oct, 00:56 UTC38%
30 Oct, 00:28 UTC41%
29 Oct, 23:47 UTC41%
29 Oct, 23:26 UTC38%
29 Oct, 22:57 UTC49%
29 Oct, 22:24 UTC64%
29 Oct, 21:48 UTC71%
29 Oct, 21:14 UTC64%
29 Oct, 20:53 UTC64%
29 Oct, 20:24 UTC69%
29 Oct, 19:43 UTC71%
29 Oct, 19:22 UTC72%
29 Oct, 17:46 UTC83%
29 Oct, 17:26 UTC84%
29 Oct, 16:35 UTC83%
29 Oct, 16:07 UTC84%
29 Oct, 15:38 UTC83%
29 Oct, 15:22 UTC80%
29 Oct, 14:55 UTC77%
29 Oct, 14:24 UTC74%
29 Oct, 13:46 UTC76%
29 Oct, 12:32 UTC83%
29 Oct, 12:11 UTC85%
29 Oct, 11:56 UTC85%
29 Oct, 11:12 UTC81%
29 Oct, 10:58 UTC80%
29 Oct, 09:55 UTC80%
29 Oct, 09:12 UTC81%
29 Oct, 08:43 UTC80%
29 Oct, 08:26 UTC80%
29 Oct, 07:58 UTC81%
29 Oct, 07:26 UTC79%
29 Oct, 06:58 UTC83%
29 Oct, 05:58 UTC87%
29 Oct, 05:29 UTC87%
29 Oct, 04:07 UTC87%
29 Oct, 02:53 UTC87%
29 Oct, 02:13 UTC88%
29 Oct, 01:45 UTC85%
29 Oct, 00:55 UTC82%
29 Oct, 00:27 UTC80%
28 Oct, 23:54 UTC82%
28 Oct, 23:19 UTC80%
28 Oct, 22:46 UTC80%
28 Oct, 22:25 UTC82%
28 Oct, 21:57 UTC79%
28 Oct, 21:15 UTC79%
28 Oct, 20:52 UTC78%
28 Oct, 20:02 UTC92%
28 Oct, 17:38 UTC92%
28 Oct, 15:47 UTC93%
28 Oct, 15:26 UTC95%
28 Oct, 13:16 UTC93%
28 Oct, 12:57 UTC91%
28 Oct, 12:19 UTC90%
28 Oct, 11:24 UTC91%
28 Oct, 10:56 UTC93%
28 Oct, 09:39 UTC91%
28 Oct, 09:10 UTC85%
28 Oct, 08:56 UTC86%
28 Oct, 08:22 UTC90%
28 Oct, 07:01 UTC92%
28 Oct, 06:20 UTC93%
28 Oct, 03:50 UTC92%
28 Oct, 00:21 UTC90%
27 Oct, 23:19 UTC90%
27 Oct, 22:51 UTC89%
27 Oct, 18:49 UTC91%
27 Oct, 17:28 UTC91%
27 Oct, 16:45 UTC85%
27 Oct, 16:22 UTC86%
27 Oct, 15:56 UTC82%
27 Oct, 15:27 UTC82%
27 Oct, 14:43 UTC86%
27 Oct, 13:18 UTC95%
27 Oct, 11:03 UTC92%
27 Oct, 10:56 UTC92%
27 Oct, 10:12 UTC93%
27 Oct, 06:20 UTC92%
26 Oct, 21:53 UTC91%
26 Oct, 20:32 UTC91%
26 Oct, 19:23 UTC88%
26 Oct, 18:48 UTC84%
26 Oct, 18:04 UTC85%
26 Oct, 17:45 UTC85%
26 Oct, 17:28 UTC85%
26 Oct, 16:51 UTC85%
26 Oct, 16:02 UTC83%
26 Oct, 15:54 UTC83%
26 Oct, 15:09 UTC78%
26 Oct, 14:55 UTC82%
26 Oct, 14:23 UTC83%
26 Oct, 13:47 UTC86%
26 Oct, 13:13 UTC82%
26 Oct, 12:47 UTC83%
26 Oct, 12:25 UTC80%
26 Oct, 11:56 UTC77%
26 Oct, 11:16 UTC74%
26 Oct, 10:56 UTC75%
26 Oct, 10:14 UTC73%
26 Oct, 09:53 UTC74%
26 Oct, 09:17 UTC75%
26 Oct, 08:51 UTC74%
26 Oct, 08:23 UTC72%
26 Oct, 07:37 UTC72%
26 Oct, 07:24 UTC72%
26 Oct, 06:58 UTC73%
26 Oct, 06:27 UTC72%
26 Oct, 05:53 UTC71%
26 Oct, 04:43 UTC67%
26 Oct, 04:29 UTC67%
26 Oct, 03:57 UTC67%
26 Oct, 03:20 UTC68%
26 Oct, 02:13 UTC67%
26 Oct, 01:27 UTC70%
26 Oct, 00:54 UTC70%
25 Oct, 23:35 UTC69%
25 Oct, 23:25 UTC66%
25 Oct, 22:20 UTC67%
25 Oct, 21:50 UTC68%
25 Oct, 20:56 UTC68%

What counts

Apple must hold the second-highest market capitalization among all global companies at the moment the stock market closes on October 31, 2026. The final ranking depends on a consensus of credible financial reporting regarding that specific date's closing values.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 0%
  • No 100%

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