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Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?

Resolved: Yes 3d ago

The market favoured Yes at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$11k
Total volume$86k
Liquidity$39k
Resolved4 Nov 2026
How the odds moved · Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
0%50%100%100%30 Oct, 04:15 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now100%
4 Nov, 03:48 UTC99%
4 Nov, 03:26 UTC99%
4 Nov, 02:56 UTC98%
4 Nov, 02:26 UTC97%
4 Nov, 01:49 UTC97%
4 Nov, 01:27 UTC97%
4 Nov, 00:58 UTC97%
4 Nov, 00:29 UTC97%
3 Nov, 23:46 UTC96%
3 Nov, 23:24 UTC95%
3 Nov, 22:19 UTC96%
3 Nov, 21:57 UTC96%
3 Nov, 20:27 UTC95%
3 Nov, 17:58 UTC96%
3 Nov, 17:17 UTC96%
3 Nov, 16:47 UTC96%
3 Nov, 16:26 UTC97%
3 Nov, 15:57 UTC96%
3 Nov, 15:14 UTC96%
3 Nov, 14:25 UTC96%
3 Nov, 13:55 UTC96%
3 Nov, 13:25 UTC96%
3 Nov, 12:50 UTC96%
3 Nov, 12:28 UTC96%
3 Nov, 11:52 UTC96%
3 Nov, 10:52 UTC96%
3 Nov, 10:02 UTC96%
3 Nov, 08:17 UTC96%
3 Nov, 07:55 UTC96%
3 Nov, 07:26 UTC95%
3 Nov, 04:22 UTC96%
3 Nov, 03:40 UTC96%
3 Nov, 02:37 UTC96%
3 Nov, 01:02 UTC96%
3 Nov, 00:33 UTC96%
3 Nov, 00:26 UTC96%
2 Nov, 23:44 UTC96%
2 Nov, 23:23 UTC96%
2 Nov, 22:54 UTC96%
2 Nov, 22:24 UTC96%
2 Nov, 21:48 UTC96%
2 Nov, 20:51 UTC96%
2 Nov, 20:08 UTC96%
2 Nov, 19:47 UTC96%
2 Nov, 19:26 UTC96%
2 Nov, 18:42 UTC96%
2 Nov, 17:19 UTC96%
2 Nov, 16:49 UTC96%
2 Nov, 15:56 UTC96%
2 Nov, 15:11 UTC96%
2 Nov, 14:56 UTC96%
2 Nov, 14:19 UTC96%
2 Nov, 12:42 UTC96%
2 Nov, 12:19 UTC96%
2 Nov, 11:57 UTC96%
2 Nov, 11:22 UTC96%
2 Nov, 10:50 UTC96%
2 Nov, 10:14 UTC96%
2 Nov, 09:39 UTC96%
2 Nov, 09:25 UTC96%
2 Nov, 08:57 UTC96%
2 Nov, 08:29 UTC96%
2 Nov, 07:54 UTC96%
2 Nov, 07:10 UTC96%
2 Nov, 06:56 UTC96%
2 Nov, 06:21 UTC96%
2 Nov, 05:31 UTC96%
2 Nov, 04:47 UTC96%
2 Nov, 04:26 UTC96%
2 Nov, 03:28 UTC96%
2 Nov, 02:58 UTC96%
2 Nov, 02:22 UTC96%
2 Nov, 01:17 UTC96%
2 Nov, 00:48 UTC96%
2 Nov, 00:19 UTC96%
1 Nov, 23:57 UTC96%
1 Nov, 23:29 UTC96%
1 Nov, 22:53 UTC95%
1 Nov, 22:17 UTC95%
1 Nov, 21:56 UTC96%
1 Nov, 21:26 UTC96%
1 Nov, 20:36 UTC97%
1 Nov, 20:29 UTC96%
1 Nov, 19:09 UTC96%
1 Nov, 18:18 UTC96%
1 Nov, 17:49 UTC96%
1 Nov, 17:05 UTC96%
1 Nov, 16:44 UTC96%
1 Nov, 16:29 UTC96%
1 Nov, 15:38 UTC96%
1 Nov, 15:24 UTC96%
1 Nov, 14:23 UTC96%
1 Nov, 12:33 UTC96%
1 Nov, 12:09 UTC96%
1 Nov, 11:19 UTC96%
1 Nov, 09:42 UTC96%
1 Nov, 09:22 UTC96%
1 Nov, 08:32 UTC96%
1 Nov, 07:18 UTC96%
1 Nov, 06:36 UTC96%
1 Nov, 05:54 UTC96%
1 Nov, 05:25 UTC96%
1 Nov, 04:57 UTC96%
1 Nov, 04:22 UTC96%
1 Nov, 03:54 UTC95%
1 Nov, 03:26 UTC95%
1 Nov, 02:50 UTC95%
1 Nov, 02:15 UTC95%
1 Nov, 01:59 UTC95%
1 Nov, 01:24 UTC95%
1 Nov, 00:56 UTC95%
1 Nov, 00:21 UTC95%
31 Oct, 23:31 UTC96%
31 Oct, 23:17 UTC96%
31 Oct, 22:35 UTC96%
31 Oct, 22:28 UTC96%
31 Oct, 21:39 UTC96%
31 Oct, 20:43 UTC96%
31 Oct, 20:28 UTC96%
31 Oct, 19:59 UTC96%
31 Oct, 19:17 UTC96%
31 Oct, 18:27 UTC96%
31 Oct, 17:49 UTC96%
31 Oct, 17:13 UTC96%
31 Oct, 16:29 UTC96%
31 Oct, 15:59 UTC96%
31 Oct, 15:22 UTC96%
31 Oct, 14:46 UTC96%
31 Oct, 14:16 UTC96%
31 Oct, 13:53 UTC96%
31 Oct, 10:06 UTC96%
31 Oct, 09:16 UTC96%
31 Oct, 08:49 UTC96%
31 Oct, 08:28 UTC96%
31 Oct, 07:18 UTC96%
31 Oct, 06:57 UTC96%
31 Oct, 06:29 UTC95%
31 Oct, 03:52 UTC96%
31 Oct, 00:17 UTC96%
30 Oct, 23:55 UTC96%
30 Oct, 21:38 UTC96%
30 Oct, 21:09 UTC96%
30 Oct, 20:51 UTC96%
30 Oct, 20:22 UTC96%
30 Oct, 19:53 UTC96%
30 Oct, 19:27 UTC96%
30 Oct, 18:58 UTC96%
30 Oct, 18:10 UTC96%
30 Oct, 17:56 UTC96%
30 Oct, 17:20 UTC96%
30 Oct, 16:10 UTC96%
30 Oct, 15:50 UTC96%
30 Oct, 15:21 UTC96%
30 Oct, 08:41 UTC96%
30 Oct, 04:43 UTC96%
30 Oct, 04:15 UTC95%

What counts

The Yes outcome occurs if the Democratic nominee wins the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election. The No outcome applies if any other candidate wins or if the race remains uncalled by all resolution sources until official certification.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 100%
  • No 0%

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