Chiefs vs. Raiders: O/U 46.5
The market favoured Over at 54% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$108k
Total volume$110k
Liquidity$116k
Resolved4 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 4 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 22% |
| 4 Oct, 21:05 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Oct, 20:25 UTC | 53% |
| 4 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 54% |
What counts
The Over outcome occurs if the Chiefs and Raiders score a combined total of 47 or more points during the scheduled NFL game on October 4 at 4:25 PM ET. The Under outcome applies if their combined score is less than 47 points. Readers often mistake the deadline for resolution, which depends on the completion of the game rather than the initial start time.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Over 100%
- Under 0%
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