Texas vs. Tennessee
The market favoured Texas at 65% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$1.3M
Total volume$6
Liquidity$41k
Resolved26 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 26 Sept, 20:36 UTC | 100% |
| 26 Sept, 15:31 UTC | 66% |
| 26 Sept, 14:37 UTC | 67% |
| 26 Sept, 08:02 UTC | 66% |
| 26 Sept, 06:16 UTC | 65% |
| 26 Sept, 02:02 UTC | 65% |
| 26 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 65% |
| 25 Sept, 16:37 UTC | 65% |
| 25 Sept, 16:19 UTC | 65% |
| 25 Sept, 14:54 UTC | 65% |
| 25 Sept, 12:31 UTC | 65% |
| 25 Sept, 02:26 UTC | 65% |
| 25 Sept, 00:06 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Sept, 23:39 UTC | 65% |
| 24 Sept, 22:31 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Sept, 20:03 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Sept, 18:09 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Sept, 15:03 UTC | 63% |
| 24 Sept, 13:32 UTC | 64% |
| 23 Sept, 13:32 UTC | 66% |
What counts
The market resolves to Texas if they win the football game and to Tennessee if they win. Overtime counts toward the final result, but a tie or cancellation leads to an even split. Readers often mistake the kickoff time for the deadline, but the outcome depends on who wins the completed game.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Texas 100%
- Tennessee 0%
View this market on Polymarket →