Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 67% |
| 5 Nov, 16:51 UTC | 68% |
| 5 Nov, 16:29 UTC | 68% |
| 5 Nov, 15:57 UTC | 74% |
| 5 Nov, 15:25 UTC | 82% |
| 5 Nov, 13:23 UTC | 82% |
| 5 Nov, 10:10 UTC | 83% |
| 5 Nov, 09:19 UTC | 81% |
| 5 Nov, 08:51 UTC | 80% |
| 5 Nov, 07:24 UTC | 79% |
| 5 Nov, 05:23 UTC | 79% |
| 5 Nov, 04:26 UTC | 79% |
| 5 Nov, 01:06 UTC | 82% |
| 5 Nov, 00:30 UTC | 82% |
| 5 Nov, 00:23 UTC | 83% |
| 4 Nov, 23:47 UTC | 82% |
| 4 Nov, 21:10 UTC | 84% |
| 4 Nov, 20:45 UTC | 82% |
| 4 Nov, 20:23 UTC | 82% |
| 4 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 82% |
| 4 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 81% |
| 4 Nov, 16:57 UTC | 79% |
| 4 Nov, 16:27 UTC | 74% |
| 4 Nov, 15:58 UTC | 78% |
| 4 Nov, 15:28 UTC | 77% |
| 4 Nov, 14:59 UTC | 80% |
| 4 Nov, 13:46 UTC | 83% |
| 4 Nov, 13:24 UTC | 84% |
| 4 Nov, 12:54 UTC | 85% |
| 4 Nov, 06:50 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Nov, 06:07 UTC | 86% |
| 4 Nov, 05:46 UTC | 86% |
| 4 Nov, 05:02 UTC | 85% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 86% |
| 4 Nov, 02:19 UTC | 85% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 85% |
| 3 Nov, 20:12 UTC | 86% |
| 3 Nov, 18:59 UTC | 87% |
| 3 Nov, 15:36 UTC | 86% |
| 3 Nov, 15:14 UTC | 86% |
| 3 Nov, 14:18 UTC | 85% |
| 3 Nov, 13:55 UTC | 86% |
| 3 Nov, 13:18 UTC | 85% |
| 3 Nov, 12:14 UTC | 86% |
| 3 Nov, 09:40 UTC | 85% |
| 3 Nov, 09:27 UTC | 86% |
| 3 Nov, 06:37 UTC | 85% |
| 3 Nov, 06:23 UTC | 85% |
| 2 Nov, 22:09 UTC | 85% |
| 2 Nov, 21:19 UTC | 85% |
| 2 Nov, 20:08 UTC | 84% |
| 2 Nov, 19:26 UTC | 83% |
| 2 Nov, 16:12 UTC | 83% |
| 2 Nov, 15:34 UTC | 83% |
| 2 Nov, 15:19 UTC | 83% |
| 2 Nov, 14:49 UTC | 83% |
| 2 Nov, 09:52 UTC | 83% |
| 2 Nov, 06:42 UTC | 83% |
| 2 Nov, 06:21 UTC | 83% |
| 2 Nov, 05:24 UTC | 83% |
| 2 Nov, 03:28 UTC | 84% |
| 2 Nov, 01:53 UTC | 83% |
| 2 Nov, 00:40 UTC | 84% |
| 1 Nov, 21:41 UTC | 83% |
| 1 Nov, 20:36 UTC | 82% |
| 1 Nov, 18:54 UTC | 83% |
| 1 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 82% |
| 1 Nov, 16:44 UTC | 82% |
| 1 Nov, 15:46 UTC | 82% |
| 1 Nov, 14:45 UTC | 81% |
| 1 Nov, 14:09 UTC | 81% |
| 1 Nov, 12:02 UTC | 80% |
| 1 Nov, 05:11 UTC | 81% |
| 1 Nov, 04:29 UTC | 80% |
| 1 Nov, 03:54 UTC | 81% |
| 1 Nov, 00:28 UTC | 81% |
| 31 Oct, 22:35 UTC | 79% |
| 31 Oct, 18:34 UTC | 80% |
| 31 Oct, 18:11 UTC | 80% |
| 31 Oct, 15:44 UTC | 81% |
| 31 Oct, 15:00 UTC | 79% |
| 31 Oct, 14:38 UTC | 79% |
| 31 Oct, 07:25 UTC | 77% |
| 31 Oct, 04:07 UTC | 77% |
| 31 Oct, 03:38 UTC | 76% |
| 31 Oct, 03:24 UTC | 76% |
| 31 Oct, 02:47 UTC | 76% |
| 31 Oct, 00:57 UTC | 78% |
| 30 Oct, 20:51 UTC | 83% |
| 30 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 83% |
| 30 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 84% |
| 30 Oct, 11:31 UTC | 84% |
| 30 Oct, 09:22 UTC | 86% |
| 30 Oct, 08:48 UTC | 84% |
| 30 Oct, 07:42 UTC | 84% |
| 30 Oct, 05:56 UTC | 83% |
| 29 Oct, 23:40 UTC | 86% |
| 29 Oct, 21:34 UTC | 85% |
| 29 Oct, 21:14 UTC | 83% |
| 29 Oct, 20:16 UTC | 83% |
| 29 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 82% |
| 29 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 82% |
| 29 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 83% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Anthropic shares open for trading on a public exchange by 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026. It resolves to No if the company does not meet this deadline or if it is acquired by another public company. Readers often mistake an acquisition for an IPO, but the rules specify that such an event triggers an immediate No resolution.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 67%
- No 33%
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