Oregon vs. USC
The market favoured Oregon at 61% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$1.7M
Total volume$1.7M
Liquidity$603k
Resolved26 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 27 Sept, 03:39 UTC | 100% |
| 27 Sept, 02:14 UTC | 79% |
| 26 Sept, 23:09 UTC | 63% |
| 26 Sept, 21:49 UTC | 64% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 63% |
| 26 Sept, 20:20 UTC | 64% |
| 26 Sept, 16:48 UTC | 63% |
| 26 Sept, 06:16 UTC | 62% |
| 25 Sept, 21:07 UTC | 61% |
| 24 Sept, 18:09 UTC | 60% |
| 24 Sept, 17:09 UTC | 59% |
What counts
Oregon wins if it defeats USC in regulation or overtime. USC wins if it defeats Oregon in regulation or overtime. Readers often mistake the resolution deadline for the start time rather than when the game concludes.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Oregon 100%
- USC 0%
View this market on Polymarket →