Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?
The market favoured Yes at 54% a day out, but No won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$7.8M
Total volume$7.9M
Liquidity$626k
Resolved24 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 24 Oct, 19:30 UTC | 0% |
| 24 Oct, 16:01 UTC | 52% |
| 24 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 51% |
| 24 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 49% |
| 24 Oct, 14:47 UTC | 51% |
| 24 Oct, 11:57 UTC | 51% |
| 24 Oct, 07:17 UTC | 50% |
| 24 Oct, 04:03 UTC | 52% |
| 23 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 53% |
| 23 Oct, 19:04 UTC | 54% |
| 23 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 53% |
| 23 Oct, 18:07 UTC | 54% |
| 23 Oct, 15:06 UTC | 55% |
| 23 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 56% |
| 22 Oct, 21:02 UTC | 56% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 57% |
What counts
The Yes outcome requires Chelsea FC to win the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time on October 24, 2026. The No outcome applies if Chelsea does not win, including draws or losses, or if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up match.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →