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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 6?

Resolved: Yes 32d ago

The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$15k
Total volume$34k
Liquidity$52k
Resolved6 Oct 2026
How the odds moved · Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 6?
0%50%100%100%4 Oct, 04:39 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now100%
6 Oct, 17:53 UTC100%
6 Oct, 11:13 UTC100%
6 Oct, 10:25 UTC100%
6 Oct, 08:55 UTC100%
6 Oct, 07:51 UTC100%
6 Oct, 07:19 UTC100%
6 Oct, 04:35 UTC100%
6 Oct, 04:22 UTC100%
6 Oct, 03:55 UTC100%
6 Oct, 03:23 UTC100%
6 Oct, 02:56 UTC100%
6 Oct, 01:23 UTC100%
6 Oct, 00:56 UTC100%
6 Oct, 00:23 UTC100%
5 Oct, 23:42 UTC100%
5 Oct, 23:29 UTC100%
5 Oct, 22:56 UTC100%
5 Oct, 21:33 UTC100%
5 Oct, 20:52 UTC100%
5 Oct, 17:21 UTC100%
5 Oct, 16:54 UTC99%
5 Oct, 16:10 UTC99%
5 Oct, 15:56 UTC99%
5 Oct, 15:28 UTC99%
5 Oct, 14:53 UTC99%
5 Oct, 14:24 UTC99%
5 Oct, 13:25 UTC99%
5 Oct, 12:58 UTC99%
5 Oct, 12:24 UTC99%
5 Oct, 11:50 UTC99%
5 Oct, 11:07 UTC99%
5 Oct, 10:54 UTC99%
5 Oct, 10:28 UTC99%
5 Oct, 09:53 UTC99%
5 Oct, 09:27 UTC99%
5 Oct, 08:41 UTC99%
5 Oct, 08:28 UTC99%
5 Oct, 07:49 UTC99%
5 Oct, 07:21 UTC99%
5 Oct, 06:55 UTC99%
5 Oct, 06:16 UTC99%
5 Oct, 05:56 UTC99%
5 Oct, 05:24 UTC99%
5 Oct, 04:59 UTC99%
4 Oct, 04:39 UTC99%

What counts

The market resolves to "Yes" if the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle closing price at 12:00 ET on October 6 is above $2,500. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." Readers often mistakenly check prices from other exchanges or different timeframes instead of the specific Binance data point.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 100%
  • No 0%

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