Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
The market favoured Ravens at 54% a day out, but Jaguars won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$417k
Total volume$430k
Liquidity$293k
Resolved6 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 6 Nov, 00:12 UTC | 44% |
| 5 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 45% |
| 5 Nov, 18:06 UTC | 46% |
| 5 Nov, 14:00 UTC | 47% |
| 5 Nov, 12:37 UTC | 46% |
| 5 Nov, 04:12 UTC | 47% |
What counts
The Jaguars outcome occurs if they win by 11 points or more in the scheduled November 5 game. The Ravens outcome applies if the Jaguars win by fewer than 11 points, lose, or tie. Readers often mistake the spread for a simple win/loss bet rather than a margin of victory requirement.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Jaguars 100%
- Ravens 0%
View this market on Polymarket →