Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
The market favoured Philadelphia Phillies at 50% a day out, but Atlanta Braves won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$1.7M
Total volume$3
Liquidity$2k
Resolved9 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 2 Oct, 03:35 UTC | 0% |
| 2 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 0% |
| 2 Oct, 02:56 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 01:26 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 47% |
| 1 Oct, 18:36 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 51% |
| 1 Oct, 04:11 UTC | 50% |
| 30 Sept, 22:59 UTC | 50% |
| 30 Sept, 22:29 UTC | 50% |
| 29 Sept, 22:29 UTC | 47% |
What counts
The market resolves to Philadelphia Phillies if they win the game and Atlanta Braves if they win. It stays open if the game is postponed but closes if the game is canceled with no make-up or ends in a tie. Readers often mistake the resolution source, which relies on official final statistics rather than live scores or news headlines.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Philadelphia Phillies 0%
- Atlanta Braves 100%
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