FK Shakhtar Donetsk leading at halftime?
The market favoured No at 72% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$3k
Resolved14 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 14 Oct, 23:41 UTC | 0% |
| 14 Oct, 18:34 UTC | 28% |
| 14 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 30% |
| 14 Oct, 17:39 UTC | 29% |
| 14 Oct, 13:13 UTC | 29% |
| 14 Oct, 07:23 UTC | 29% |
| 13 Oct, 07:16 UTC | 28% |
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if FK Shakhtar Donetsk leads at halftime, defined as the end of regular play plus stoppage time in the first half. The No outcome applies if they do not lead or if the game is canceled without a make-up match. Readers often mistake the deadline for resolution, which depends on the availability of official statistics from the governing body rather than just the game's conclusion.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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