Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Implied probability 100%+32
24-hour volume$552k
Total volume$1.9M
Liquidity$132k
Resolves2 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 2 Nov, 02:22 UTC | 100% |
| 1 Nov, 22:24 UTC | 100% |
| 1 Nov, 21:41 UTC | 100% |
| 1 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 100% |
| 1 Nov, 20:43 UTC | 100% |
| 1 Nov, 20:07 UTC | 100% |
| 1 Nov, 19:52 UTC | 100% |
| 1 Nov, 19:23 UTC | 99% |
| 1 Nov, 18:54 UTC | 99% |
| 1 Nov, 18:11 UTC | 98% |
| 1 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 97% |
| 1 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 88% |
| 1 Nov, 16:58 UTC | 85% |
| 1 Nov, 16:29 UTC | 84% |
| 1 Nov, 15:46 UTC | 80% |
| 1 Nov, 15:24 UTC | 77% |
| 1 Nov, 14:45 UTC | 78% |
| 1 Nov, 13:54 UTC | 79% |
| 1 Nov, 13:24 UTC | 75% |
| 1 Nov, 12:55 UTC | 84% |
| 1 Nov, 11:48 UTC | 86% |
| 1 Nov, 11:26 UTC | 87% |
| 1 Nov, 10:57 UTC | 83% |
| 1 Nov, 10:21 UTC | 80% |
| 1 Nov, 09:50 UTC | 84% |
| 1 Nov, 09:28 UTC | 74% |
| 1 Nov, 08:54 UTC | 71% |
| 1 Nov, 08:25 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 07:11 UTC | 67% |
| 1 Nov, 04:57 UTC | 68% |
| 1 Nov, 02:29 UTC | 67% |
| 1 Nov, 01:38 UTC | 66% |
| 31 Oct, 22:50 UTC | 67% |
| 31 Oct, 22:00 UTC | 67% |
| 31 Oct, 21:31 UTC | 67% |
| 31 Oct, 21:17 UTC | 66% |
| 31 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 63% |
| 31 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 64% |
| 31 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 64% |
| 31 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 67% |
| 31 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 16:51 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 15:44 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 67% |
| 31 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 64% |
| 31 Oct, 11:57 UTC | 63% |
| 31 Oct, 10:59 UTC | 66% |
| 31 Oct, 08:28 UTC | 66% |
| 31 Oct, 00:38 UTC | 67% |
| 31 Oct, 00:24 UTC | 65% |
| 30 Oct, 23:41 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Oct, 23:16 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Oct, 20:29 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Oct, 19:53 UTC | 69% |
| 30 Oct, 18:58 UTC | 71% |
| 30 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 72% |
| 30 Oct, 16:10 UTC | 71% |
| 30 Oct, 15:21 UTC | 71% |
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Iliana Iotova wins the next Bulgarian presidential election, including any second round. The No outcome applies if she does not win that election. Readers often mistake the December 31, 2027 deadline for the end of voting rather than the final date for determining the result.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
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