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Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?

Resolved: No 52d ago

The market favoured No at 84% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$68k
Total volume$79k
Liquidity$0
Resolved16 Sept 2026
How the odds moved · Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?
0%50%100%0%14 Sept, 13:53 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now0%
15 Sept, 21:55 UTC0%
15 Sept, 19:53 UTC0%
15 Sept, 19:25 UTC1%
15 Sept, 18:59 UTC1%
15 Sept, 18:29 UTC3%
15 Sept, 17:55 UTC3%
15 Sept, 17:27 UTC6%
15 Sept, 16:54 UTC5%
15 Sept, 16:27 UTC6%
15 Sept, 15:54 UTC6%
15 Sept, 15:26 UTC6%
15 Sept, 14:53 UTC7%
15 Sept, 14:01 UTC7%
15 Sept, 13:53 UTC7%
14 Sept, 13:53 UTC18%

Outcomes

  • Yes 0%
  • No 100%

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