Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$4
Total volume$130k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 23 Sept, 06:07 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Sept, 05:42 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Sept, 05:26 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Sept, 19:42 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Sept, 17:05 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Sept, 16:28 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Sept, 07:09 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Sept, 06:57 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Sept, 06:08 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Sept, 05:42 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Sept, 05:17 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Sept, 01:25 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Sept, 00:59 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 23:42 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 23:22 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 21:33 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 21:09 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 20:56 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 14:48 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 14:22 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 09:16 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 08:37 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 06:19 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 05:55 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 04:00 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 03:42 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 02:55 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 02:27 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 01:35 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 01:19 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 00:38 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Sept, 20:39 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Sept, 20:03 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Sept, 19:47 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Sept, 15:28 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Sept, 21:05 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Sept, 20:50 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Sept, 20:17 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Sept, 15:43 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Sept, 15:20 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Sept, 14:28 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Sept, 13:54 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Sept, 13:04 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Sept, 12:58 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Sept, 12:13 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Sept, 11:55 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Sept, 11:19 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Sept, 10:59 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Sept, 10:27 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Sept, 09:56 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Sept, 09:19 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Sept, 08:53 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Sept, 08:20 UTC | 1% |
| 18 Sept, 05:25 UTC | 1% |
| 18 Sept, 04:59 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 16:25 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 15:58 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 14:51 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 14:09 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 13:21 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 12:55 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 07:10 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 06:55 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 06:06 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 05:58 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 01:20 UTC | 2% |
| 17 Sept, 00:58 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Shohei Ohtani is officially named the 2026 National League MVP. The No outcome applies if any other player wins the award. Readers often mistake the linked news story about his return date for the resolution criteria, but only the final MVP announcement matters.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%
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