Will Jay Z perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
Implied probability 97%+1
24-hour volume$23
Total volume$20k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves1 Apr 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 97% |
| 30 Oct, 05:56 UTC | 97% |
| 30 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 97% |
| 30 Oct, 02:16 UTC | 97% |
| 30 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 97% |
| 30 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Oct, 23:47 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Oct, 20:16 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Oct, 17:26 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Oct, 13:22 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Oct, 12:52 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Oct, 10:26 UTC | 96% |
| 28 Oct, 13:16 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 17:50 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 12:33 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 11:44 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 04:33 UTC | 95% |
| 27 Oct, 04:26 UTC | 94% |
| 27 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 94% |
| 27 Oct, 02:42 UTC | 95% |
| 27 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 92% |
| 26 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 77% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
Jay Z must perform live and in person during the Super Bowl LXI halftime show for the outcome to be Yes. The market resolves to No if he does not perform, if the event is cancelled, or if it is delayed beyond March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake a casual appearance or an announcement for a qualifying performance.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 97%
- No 3%
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